It is election time in the Indian state of Jharkhand. Citizens, the real power holders will be voting for their representation in the Legislative Assembly during Nov-Dec ’14
Today, On 21st November, Modi was in Daltonganj, Palamau addressing a crowd, which he elaborately thanked in his signature style, owing to their support in the Last Lok Sabha elections.
He mentioned the farmers of Palamau, Jharkhand in his reference to his trip to Australia, which further intensified their support. He talked of Bananas for the poor, plight of the Adivasis and the tribals,
the toilet mission, bank accounts and also as always called for an end to nepotism and corruption referring to his oppositions in the state. Significantly, he also mentioned giving coal royalty share to states.
This is what has been referred to as the Modi wave for the past year, which helped them win 12 out of 14 Lok Sabha seats in the state. The other 2 went to the ruling Jharkhand Mukti Morcha which has a strength of 18 out 82 in the Assembly.
The JMM were in an alliance with the BJP until 2013 but are presently part of the UPA. Another entity complexing the vote percentage scenario is the Jharkhand Vikas Morcha(P), formed by former Jharkhand chief minister Babulal Marandi,
was earlier a member of the Bharatiya Janata Party, but he quit in mid-2006 because he felt he was being sidelined in the party. In 2009 elections, the JVM won 11, the BJP got 18, Congress won 13 and the rest 21 were distributed between
AJSU 6, RJD 5, JDU 2, Independent candidates 2 and others 6.
If the trend of the results in the hindi-belt and Maharastra and if the recent opinion poles are to be believed then the BJP looks set to cross 35 and be the single largest party, of which the latter seems inevitable to most experts.
The RJD, JDU and the Congress have still seemed unable to mobilize there support at the ground level. Jharkhand elections appear to be moving in the similar direction of what happened in Maharastra and it isn’t highly unlikely that either the JVM or the JMM
may try to ally with the BJP post polls. Shibu Soren‘s JMM is also an influential political party in neighboring states of Orissa, West Bengal and it left the alliance with BJP to form the government in Jharkhand.
Arjun Munda and Yashvant Sinha seem favorites for the post of Chief Minister.